About the study

We have systematically reviewed the world literature reporting the development or validation of models to predict risk of developing melanoma. After searching Medline, EMBASE and the Cochrane Library, 25 risk models were included in the review.

The models considered 144 risk factors with the most frequent being the number of naevi, presence of freckles, history of sunburn, hair colour and skin colour. Only two of the included models were validated using an external population.

We suggest that further research should be focusing on validating the existing risk models rather than developing new ones.


A full report of the review has been published in Cancer Epidemiology, Biomarkers and Prevention. You can access or download the paper through the following link:

An interview has been published in Medical Research.com outlining the main findings of the review. You can access the interview through the following link: